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Artikel

Verschillen crackers van andere criminelen?

Een vergelijking op basis van Nederlandse verdachtenregistraties

Tijdschrift Tijdschrift voor Criminologie, Aflevering 4 2013
Trefwoorden hackers, crackers, computer intrusion, suspects, The Netherlands
Auteurs Dr. Stijn Ruiter en Frank Bernaards LLM
SamenvattingAuteursinformatie

    Scientific research on cybercrime has mainly focused on its technological aspects. There is a lack of knowledge regarding the human factor in cybercrime. In this article we focus on the human factor and address the question to what extent crackers (criminal hackers) are similar to other criminals. We analyse socio-demographic characteristics as well as criminal careers of crackers in comparison to those of other criminals. We employ Dutch police data on criminal suspects from 1996-2009. Our results show that hacking suspects are quite similar to other criminals with respect to both socio-demographic characteristics and their criminal careers.


Dr. Stijn Ruiter
Dr. S. Ruiter is senior onderzoeker bij het Nederlands Studiecentrum Criminaliteit en Rechtshandhaving (NSCR).

Frank Bernaards LLM
F. Bernaards, LLM is strategisch expert bij het Team High Tech Crime (THTC) van de politie.
Artikel

Je geld kwijt, en dan?

Financiële schade bij slachtoffers van onterechte bankafschrijvingen

Tijdschrift Tijdschrift voor Criminologie, Aflevering 4 2013
Trefwoorden unauthorized cash withdrawal, bank account, identity fraud, financial damage
Auteurs Dr. Johan van Wilsem, Dr. Nicole van der Meulen en Dr. Maarten Kunst
SamenvattingAuteursinformatie

    Identity fraud is a rapidly growing problem, as shown by recent volume estimates from victim surveys. Little is known however about the amount of financial damage among victims of this crime, especially in the Dutch context. This article studies victims of unauthorized cash withdrawal from their bank account, which is one of the most common forms of identity fraud. For this, we use data on 180 victims from the representative LISS panel. The results show that the financial implications of this type of crime experience vary widely between victims. While many victims are disadvantaged for only a small amount of money (for almost 40 per cent is about less than 50 euros ), a quarter of this group suffers from substantial money loss of more than 500 euros. Nevertheless, the vast majority (85 per cent) are completely reimbursed by their banks. Eventually, only in rare cases victims suffer significant permanent money loss. Remarkably, the low educated are significantly less often reimbursed by their banks.


Dr. Johan van Wilsem
Dr. J. van Wilsem is universitair hoofddocent Criminologie aan de faculteit der rechtsgeleerdheid van de Universiteit Leiden.

Dr. Nicole van der Meulen
Dr. N.S. van der Meulen is universitair docent bij de Afdeling Transnational Legal Studies van de Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam.

Dr. Maarten Kunst
Dr. M.J.J. Kunst is universitair docent bij de Afdeling Criminologie van de Universiteit Leiden.
Artikel

Als de berg niet naar Mohammed komt ...

Over het belang van inzicht in levensbeschouwing bij de politiële aanpak van eergerelateerd geweld

Tijdschrift Tijdschrift voor Criminologie, Aflevering 2 2013
Trefwoorden honour-based violence, religion, Islam, police, motive
Auteurs Dr. Janine Janssen en Drs. Ruth Sanberg
SamenvattingAuteursinformatie

    How can police officers make use of citizens’ religious beliefs when dealing with cases of honour-based violence (HBV)? In this article religion is addressed regarding motive and legitimisation of violence and as a social network of people and institutions for communities of believers. We focus on Islamic religion, because most cases of HBV handled by the police take place within Islamic communities and because the Dutch public debate on religion revolves around Islam. We interviewed police officers with expertise on HBV. These officers have an instrumental vision on religion. It helps them to gain insight in motives for violence and it offers opportunities for conflict mediation and coping with the aftermath of HBV.


Dr. Janine Janssen
Dr. J.H.L.J. Janssen is hoofd onderzoek bij het Landelijk Expertise Centrum Eer Gerelateerd Geweld (LEC EGG) en universitair docent bij de vakgroep Strafrecht en Criminologie aan de Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam.

Drs. Ruth Sanberg
Drs. R. Sanberg is onderzoeker bij het Landelijk Expertise Centrum Eer Gerelateerd Geweld (LEC EGG).
Artikel

Informele huwelijken in Nederland: in het echt verbonden?

Een kritische reflectie op een vermeend veiligheidsrisico

Tijdschrift Tijdschrift voor Criminologie, Aflevering 2 2013
Trefwoorden informal marriages, radicalization, religion
Auteurs Prof. dr. Joanne van der Leun en Avalon Leupen MSc
SamenvattingAuteursinformatie

    Dutch law solely recognizes civil marriage. According to law, religious marriages can only take place after these civil marriages. Over the last years there have been several indications of rising numbers of ‘informal marriages’ which conflict with the law. These informal marriages were presupposed to take place primarily in Muslim circles. Amongst politicians and media the worries were expressed that these marriages pointed to an aversion with regard to the state of law and to radicalization of the young people involved. They were also seen as a risk to the security of society. In this explorative study we did not find any evidence for this securitisation link.


Prof. dr. Joanne van der Leun
Prof. dr. J.P. van der Leun is als hoogleraar criminologie verbonden aan het Instituut voor Strafrecht & Criminologie van de faculteit der Rechtsgeleerdheid van de Universiteit Leiden.

Avalon Leupen MSc
A.J. Leupen, MSc. is docent criminologie aan het Instituut voor Strafrecht & Criminologie van de faculteit der Rechtsgeleerdheid van de Universiteit Leiden.
Artikel

‘Maar Hollanders zouden zeggen dat het uitbuiting is ...’

Chinese restauranthouders en illegale Chinezen over werken bij ‘de Chinees’

Tijdschrift Tijdschrift voor Criminologie, Aflevering 1 2013
Trefwoorden labour exploitation, Chinese restaurants, illegal aliens, moral economy, reciprocity
Auteurs Jing Hiah MSc. en Prof. dr. Richard Staring
SamenvattingAuteursinformatie

    Based on qualitative research within Chinese restaurants in the Netherlands, the authors describe and discuss (informal) labour relations among Chinese restaurant owners and their illegal Chinese workers. It is argued that a too one-sided emphasis on interpreting these labour relations in terms of ‘labour exploitation’ reduces employers to offenders and employees to victims. Such a judicial perspective hinders a clear view on the causes of underlying themes as illegal labour and illegal stay. The authors discuss how restaurant owners and employees operate in a ‘moral economy’ in which a demand for cheap products and flexible, motivated, cheap, and capable labour interacts with culturally shared expectations on justice and reciprocity and influences labour relations.


Jing Hiah MSc.
J.W. Hiah, MSc. heeft criminologie gestudeerd en is als promovendus verbonden aan de sectie Criminologie van de Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam.

Prof. dr. Richard Staring
Prof. dr. R.H.J.M. Staring is als bijzonder hoogleraar ‘Mobiliteit, toezicht en criminaliteit’ werkzaam bij de sectie Criminologie aan de Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam.
Artikel

Het effect van de slachtofferverklaring op straftoemeting: een experimenteel onderzoek onder rechtenstudenten

Tijdschrift Tijdschrift voor Criminologie, Aflevering 1 2013
Trefwoorden victim impact statement, sentence, written, videotape, injuries
Auteurs Mr. Maaike Kampen, Dr. Jan de Keijser en Mr. dr. Ard Schoep
SamenvattingAuteursinformatie

    Annually hundreds of victims make use of their right to speak in court. Victims often expect this will result in more punitive sentences. According to judges this is unlikely. This experiment among law students examines the influence of victim impact statements (VIS) on the sentencing outcome. Furthermore the effect of how the statement is delivered is examined. Is there a difference between the VIS as document in the case file and one delivered by the victim in court? Does it matter if the victim still has visible injuries? Study findings indicate that neither the presence of a VIS, nor the mode of delivery and visible injuries affect sentence length.


Mr. Maaike Kampen
Mr. P.M. Kampen is parketsecretaris bij het Openbaar Ministerie in Den Haag.

Dr. Jan de Keijser
Dr. J.W. de Keijser is universitair hoofddocent criminologie aan de Universiteit Leiden, Instituut voor Strafrecht & Criminologie.

Mr. dr. Ard Schoep
Mr. dr. G.K. Schoep is universitair hoofddocent straf- en strafprocesrecht aan de Universiteit Leiden, Instituut voor Strafrecht & Criminologie.
Artikel

Technische hulpmiddelen en doelwitselectie bij woninginbraak

Een experimenteel onderzoek naar het gebruik van Google Maps en Google Street View

Tijdschrift Tijdschrift voor Criminologie, Aflevering 4 2012
Trefwoorden burglary, targetselection, technology, Google Maps, Street View
Auteurs Dr. Stijn Van Daele, Drs. Marlijn Peeters, Drs. Christophe Vandeviver e.a.
SamenvattingAuteursinformatie

    Technological progress has a great impact on the lives of many citizens. The increasing amount of available information may however be used by criminals too, for example by burglars in their search for a suitable target. Applying the rational choice perspective and by means of an experiment with students, this paper first investigates whether it is likely or not that tools such as Google Maps and Google Street View are used for burglary. Furthermore, we investigate whether the considered target characteristics differ when such tools are used. The results indicate that we cannot give an affirmative answer to these questions so far.


Dr. Stijn Van Daele
Dr. S. Van Daele is postdoctoraal onderzoeker van FWO Vlaanderen bij het Institute for International Research on Criminal Policy (IRCP), Universiteit Gent.

Drs. Marlijn Peeters
Drs. M.P. Peeters is doctoraatsbursaal bij het Institute for International Research on Criminal Policy (IRCP), Universiteit Gent.

Drs. Christophe Vandeviver
Drs. C. Vandeviver is doctoraatsbursaal bij het Institute for International Research on Criminal Policy (IRCP), Universiteit Gent.

Efien Ledure
E. Ledure is studente Criminologische Wetenschappen aan de Universiteit Gent.

Prof. dr. Tom Vander Beken
Artikel

Kerend tij

Criminalisering van de kraakbeweging

Tijdschrift Tijdschrift voor Criminologie, Aflevering 3 2012
Trefwoorden criminalizing, squatters, social movement, frames
Auteurs Dr. Frank van Gemert, Deanna Dadusc MSc en Rutger Visser MSc
SamenvattingAuteursinformatie

    In October 2010 squatting in the Netherlands was prohibited by law. This timing seems strange, because, in the 80s, the squatters’ movement had its heyday, with many very violent confrontations with police. Isn’t it strange that squatting is prohibited now the movement has shrunk and lost much of its significance? We investigate this criminalization of squatting by describing the rise and decline of the movement similar to the turning tide. Based on literature, media reports and our own research data, we demonstrate that the power of the parties in this process is reflected by frames, reasoning and the language they use, and by their position in the media.


Dr. Frank van Gemert
Dr. F.H.M. van Gemert is universitair docent bij de sectie criminologie van de Vrije Universiteit.

Deanna Dadusc MSc
D. Dadusc, MSc is als promovenda verbonden aan de Universiteit Utrecht en aan de University of Kent (VK).

Rutger Visser MSc
R. Visser, MSc is criminoloog en verbonden aan de faculteit sociale wetenschappen van de Vrije Universiteit.
Artikel

Crimineel gedrag in de jongvolwassenheid

Tijdschrift Tijdschrift voor Criminologie, Aflevering 2 2012
Trefwoorden developmental and life course criminology, emerging adulthood, criminal careers
Auteurs Prof. dr. mr. Arjan Blokland, Dr. Hanneke Palmen en Dr. Marion van San
SamenvattingAuteursinformatie

    Much of developmental and life course criminological research addresses either the onset and escalation of antisocial behavior in childhood and adolescence, or the desistance from crime during the adult years. Far less attention has been paid to the years in which adolescents first make the transition to adulthood. Over the last 50 years due to increased educational demands this transition period has become prolonged and increasingly deinstitutionalized, resulting in a new life stage denoted as the emerging adult period. This introductory paper describes the ways in which this newly formed life stage between ages 18 and 28 is relevant for criminology, questions our knowledge on criminal career development during this period and explores new research avenues that may contribute to a full-fledged criminology of the emerging adulthood.


Prof. dr. mr. Arjan Blokland
Prof. dr. mr. A.A.J. Blokland is senior onderzoeker bij het Nederlands Studiecentrum Criminaliteit en Rechtshandhaving (NSCR) en hoogleraar Criminology and Criminal Justice aan de Universiteit Leiden.

Dr. Hanneke Palmen
Dr. H. Palmen is postdoc bij het Nederlands Studiecentrum Criminaliteit en Rechtshandhaving (NSCR).

Dr. Marion van San
Dr. M. van San is senior onderzoeker bij RISBO (Erasmus Universiteit) en wetenschappelijk docent aan de faculteit der sociale wetenschappen van de Erasmus Universiteit.
Artikel

Sneeuwwitje en de machoman

Sekse en gender in de (Nederlandstalige) criminologie

Tijdschrift Tijdschrift voor Criminologie, Aflevering 4 2010
Trefwoorden gender, Feminisme, criminologische theorie
Auteurs Prof. dr. Dirk J. Korf, Dr. Martina Althoff en Prof. Els Enhus
SamenvattingAuteursinformatie

    This special issue focuses on the role of sex/gender in Dutch and Belgian criminological and penological research and theory. This introductory article draws the history of thought and research within Dutch-language criminology and explores international developments, in particular the influence of feminist critique on theory and research.This framework serves the positioning of the other contributions, on the one hand research exploring the differences in crime between men and women and on the other hand empirical and theoretical articles focusing on (the social construction of) gender. Finally some innovative methodological findings will be discussed, also with regard to future criminological research.


Prof. dr. Dirk J. Korf
Prof. dr. D.J. Korf is bijzonder hoogleraar criminologie en directeur van het Bonger Instituut, faculteit der Rechtsgeleerdheid, Universiteit van Amsterdam, d.j.korf@uva.nl.

Dr. Martina Althoff
Dr. M. Althoff is universitair docent criminologie, vakgroep Strafrecht en Criminologie, Rijksuniversiteit Groningen, m.althoff@rug.nl.

Prof. Els Enhus
Prof. E. Enhus is als hoogleraar verbonden aan de vakgroep Criminologie, Interuniversitaire Onderzoeksgroep Sociale Veiligheidsanalyse (SVA), faculteit Recht en Criminologie, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, els.enhus@vub.ac.be.
Artikel

Sekse en straftoemeting

Een experiment

Tijdschrift Tijdschrift voor Criminologie, Aflevering 4 2010
Trefwoorden Gender, Experiment, Straftoemeting
Auteurs Catrien Bijleveld en Henk Elffers
SamenvattingAuteursinformatie

    Over 700 students judged fictitious descriptions of court cases, in which the gender of the offender was systematically varied, as well as a number of aspects pertinent to theories that explain disparities in sentencing between females and males. The results show that females indeed received shorter sentences than males, and that this difference could be attributed to the fact that male student-judges gave women shorter sentences and differential sentencing for violent crimes. We found mixed support for the chivalry as well as for the perceptual shorthand theory. More research is needed, in more realistic settings, to explain gender differences in sentencing.


Catrien Bijleveld
Prof. dr. mr. C.C.J.H. Bijleveld is senior onderzoeker aan het Nederlands Studiecentrum Criminaliteit en Rechtshandhaving en hoogleraar aan de Vrije Universiteit te Amsterdam, cbijleveld@nscr.nl.

Henk Elffers
Prof. dr. H. Elffers is hoogleraar empirische bestudering van de strafrechtpleging, afdeling Strafrecht en Criminologie, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, en senior onderzoeker aan het Nederlands Studiecentrum Criminaliteit en Rechtshandhaving (NSCR) te Amsterdam, helffers@nscr.nl.
Artikel

Trajecten van vrouwelijke gedetineerden

Weinig jeugddelinquenten, veel late starters

Tijdschrift Tijdschrift voor Criminologie, Aflevering 4 2010
Trefwoorden Gender, Vrouwelijke gedetineerden, Interviews, Criminele carrière
Auteurs An Nuytiens en Jenneke Christiaens
SamenvattingAuteursinformatie

    In this article, an ongoing Flemish qualitative research on life histories and criminal careers of women in prison is discussed. We conducted autobiographical interviews with 40 female prisoners aged between 20 and 69 years. Considering our target group, we didn’t always succeed in conducting an autobiographical interview. In practice we often conducted a classic open in-depth interview. By means of file analysis, we reconstituted the criminal career of every interviewed woman. Thanks to the retrospective approach we could reveal a diversity of trajectories. We identified three pathways: (1) youth offenders, (2) early adult-onset offenders and (3) late adult-onset offenders. Remarkably, quite a lot of women are late starters. Three risk factors – to a greater or lesser extent – play a role in these pathways: a problematic educational situation in childhood, drugs and negative love affairs.


An Nuytiens
A. Nuytiens is onderzoekster bij de vakgroep Criminologie, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, an.nuytiens@vub.ac.be.

Jenneke Christiaens
Prof. dr. J. Christiaens is hoofddocent bij de vakgroep Criminologie, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, jenneke.christiaens@vub.ac.be.
Artikel

Terug bij af?

Terugkeer en re-integratie van Bulgaarse vrouwen na uitbuiting in de prostitutie

Tijdschrift Tijdschrift voor Criminologie, Aflevering 3 2010
Trefwoorden prostitutie, Bulgarije, remigratie, slachtofferschap
Auteurs MsC Loes Kersten
SamenvattingAuteursinformatie

    This research aimed to describe the remigration of Bulgarian women who had been exploited in prostitution in the Netherlands. The difficulties they encountered during their attempt to reintegrate in their environment of origin was one of the main points of interest. Files of Bulgarian women registered as victims have been analyzed in both the Netherlands and in Bulgaria. Interviews were held with current Bulgarian sex workers, former victims of trafficking and several professionals involved in the wellbeing of these women. In many cases remigration turned out to be a temporary situation as many women returned to the Netherlands later on. Partly for that reason it appeared difficult to keep track of their situation after they (initially) came back to Bulgaria. Many women encounter the very problems that contributed to the situation of trafficking in the first place. This makes it difficult to change their marginal position: prostitution remains a well paid option if the circumstances that have led to their exploitation in prostitution remain the same. This does not necessarily lead to repeated victimization, but at least to only a limited difference that reintegration programs can make.


MsC Loes Kersten
L.G.P. Kersten MsC was student criminologie aan de Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam en voerde dit onderzoek uit in het kader van haar afstudeerproject, kersten.loes@gmail.com.
Artikel

Asielmigratie, verblijfstatussen en criminaliteit

Tijdschrift Tijdschrift voor Criminologie, Aflevering 2 2010
Trefwoorden migratie, asielzoekers, illegalen
Auteurs Drs. Jan de Boom, Dr. Erik Snel en Prof. dr. Godfried Engbersen
SamenvattingAuteursinformatie

    This article examines the relationship between the juridical status of asylum migrants (accepted asylum migrants with a residence permit or citizenship, still in procedure, illegal residence) and crime. We argue that a weak legal status results in socio-economic deprivation that can result in criminal involvement. Using both registrations of asylum seekers as well as police data about suspects of offences, we find that rejected asylum seekers that remain in the country illegally are more involved in crime than asylum seekers still in procedure, who in turn are more often registered as a suspect than accepted asylum migrants with a residence permit or Dutch citizenship. We also find that rejected asylum migrants are more involved in ‘survival crimes’ like theft. In other words: having a weak legal status increases rates of offending, especially property crimes. When studying the relation between social inequality and crime, it is important to take the juridical status of immigrants into consideration.


Drs. Jan de Boom
Drs. J. de Boom is onderzoeker bij het Risbo, Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam, deboom@risbo.eur.nl.

Dr. Erik Snel
Dr. E. Snel is onderzoeker bij de Faculteit Sociale Wetenschappen, Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam, snel@fsw.eur.nl.

Prof. dr. Godfried Engbersen
Prof. dr. G. Engbersen is hoogleraar sociologie, Faculteit Sociale Wetenschappen, Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam, Engbersen@fsw.eur.nl.
Artikel

Criminaliteit en etniciteit

Criminele carrières van autochtone en allochtone jongeren uit het geboortecohort 1984

Tijdschrift Tijdschrift voor Criminologie, Aflevering 2 2010
Trefwoorden criminele carrière, meisjescriminaliteit, cohortonderzoek, allochtonencriminaliteit
Auteurs Dr. mr. Arjan Blokland, Kim Grimbergen, Dr. Wim Bernasco e.a.
SamenvattingAuteursinformatie

    This article describes the officially recorded criminal careers from age twelve to 22 for all boys and girls who were born in the Netherlands in 1984. Using data on police contacts (HKS) we ask: (1) What proportion of the 1984 birth cohort has a police contact between ages twelve and 22?, (2) What are the criminal career characteristics of those registered?, (3) What is the nature of the crimes these youths are registered for?, and (4) How do chronic offenders and recidivists differ from one-time offenders? We answer these questions separately for boys and girls and for youths of different ethnic origin. Ethnicity was based on the country of birth of (one of) the parents. Our results show that 23 percent of men and 5 percent of women born in 1984 had at least one police contact prior to age 23. Youths of non-Dutch origin were overrepresented in police registrations. Overrepresentation was strongest for boys of Moroccan origin: 54 percent was registered at least once, and of those registered one third were registered five times or more. Moroccan girls were also overrepresented.


Dr. mr. Arjan Blokland
Dr. mr. A. Blokland is senior onderzoeker bij het Nederlands Studiecentrum Criminaliteit en Rechtshandhaving (NSCR), ABlokland@nscr.nl.

Kim Grimbergen
K. Grimbergen is adviseur voor Reclassering Nederland regio Rotterdam-Dordrecht, kim_grimbergen@msn.com.

Dr. Wim Bernasco
Dr. W. Bernasco is senior onderzoeker bij het Nederlands Studiecentrum Criminaliteit en Rechtshandhaving (NSCR), WBernasco@nscr.nl.

Prof. dr. Paul Nieuwbeerta
Prof. dr. P. Nieuwbeerta is hoogleraar criminologie, Faculteit der Rechtsgeleerdheid, Universiteit Leiden, p.nieuwbeerta@ law.leidenuniv.nl.
Artikel

Objectiviteit of schijnzekerheid?

Kwaliteit, mogelijkheden en beperkingen van instrumenten voor risicotaxatie

Tijdschrift Tijdschrift voor Criminologie, Aflevering 1 2010
Trefwoorden Risicotaxatieinstrumenten, Meta-evaluatie, Risicotaxatie
Auteurs Dr. Joke Harte en MSc Minke Breukink
SamenvattingAuteursinformatie

    Increasingly, instruments for risk assessment have been used for the assessment of future violence. This article provides an overview of the risk assessment instruments that are used in the Netherlands for the prediction of criminal recidivism. The quality of these instruments is regarded by examining studies on the interrater reliability and the predictive validity. The benefits as well as the limitations of risk assessment instruments are discussed. It is concluded that these instruments can be valuable, especially for research on treatment effects in the field of forensic psychiatry. On the other hand, it has to be acknowledged that with risk assessment instruments, the possibility to predict criminal recidivism on individual level is still limited. Psychologist and psychiatrists, presenting a mental health assessment to the court, have to inform the judge correctly about these limitations.


Dr. Joke Harte
Dr. J.M. Harte is senior onderzoeker bij het Nederlands Studiecentrum Criminaliteit en Rechtshandhaving (NSCR) en universitair docent Criminologie, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, jharte@nscr.nl.

MSc Minke Breukink
M.D. Breukink MsC was student criminologie aan de Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam en participeerde in dit onderzoek in het kader van haar afstudeerproject, minkebreukink@live.nl.
Artikel

Wie kwaad doet, kwaad ontmoet?

Over de samenhang van slachtofferschap en daderschap

Tijdschrift Tijdschrift voor Criminologie, Aflevering 3 2009
Trefwoorden slachtofferschap, daderschap
Auteurs Carin Reep en Ko Oudhof
SamenvattingAuteursinformatie

    How many criminal suspects become victims themselves? A high correlation of offence and victimisation is to be expected because of a marked similarity between offenders and victims. We assume that offenders strongly fulfil the lifestyle and environment criteria, associated with an increased risk of victimisation. By studying self-reported victimisation data from 39.978 respondents, matched to registered criminal suspects, we verified our assumption that criminal suspects are at considerably higher risk of being victims. This correlation is especially high for crimes of violence and for people suspected of multiple crimes.


Carin Reep
Ir. C.M.M. Reep is statistisch onderzoeker, Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek. cbgh@cbs.nl.

Ko Oudhof
Drs. J. Oudhof is senior statistisch onderzoeker, Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek. kodf@cbs.nl.
Artikel

StatRec: inschatting van het recidivegevaar van verdachten van een misdrijf

Tijdschrift Tijdschrift voor Criminologie, Aflevering 3 2009
Trefwoorden StatRec, recidiverisico, recidivekans
Auteurs Dr. Bouke Wartna, Drs. Nikolaj Tollenaar en Prof. dr. Stefan Bogaerts
SamenvattingAuteursinformatie

    Using data from judicial documentation on adult adjudicated offenders in the Netherlands, an actuarial risk prediction instrument has been developed. StatRec estimates the four year reconviction rate of adult offenders, based on a limited number of static factors. The metric qualities of the scale are good. StatRec produces a precise estimate of the base rate in the group of individuals with the same combination of background characteristics as the offender. The scale does not use dynamic and situational factors that may influence the risk of reoffending. Taking them into account only slightly enhances the predictive power. StatRec can be used to validate more specific risk assessment tools.


Dr. Bouke Wartna
Dr. B.S.J. Wartna is senior onderzoeker, Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek- en Documentatiecentrum (WODC), Den Haag. b.wartna@minjus.nl.

Drs. Nikolaj Tollenaar
Drs. N. Tollenaar is junior onderzoeker, Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek- en Documentatiecentrum (WODC), Den Haag. n.tollenaar@minjus.nl.

Prof. dr. Stefan Bogaerts
Prof. dr. S. Bogaerts is hoogleraar forensische psychologie en victimologie, Universiteit van Tilburg en Katholieke Universiteit Leuven. s.bogaerts@uvt.nl.
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