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Tijdschrift Tijdschrift voor Criminologie x Jaar 2015 x
Artikel

Daling in geregistreerde jeugdcriminaliteit

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Tijdschrift Tijdschrift voor Criminologie, Aflevering 2 2015
Trefwoorden crime drop, juvenile suspects, trends, macro explanations, time series analysis
Auteurs Dr. André van der Laan en Dr. Gijs Weijters
SamenvattingAuteursinformatie

    In the Netherlands, from 2007 police census data show a sharp decrease in the number of suspects of crime among juveniles aged 12 to 25 years old. How to explain this decrease remains unclear. Constructionist theories suggest that changes in police census data are fully explained by changes in the law enforcement system. Normative theories argue that changes in police data can be explained by demographic, social or economic trends. In this paper, we systematically explored the (inter)national literature for macro factors that could explain changes in juvenile crime. Next, in an empirical case study of the city of Amsterdam, we explored which of these macro factors relate to changes over time in the number of juvenile suspects of crime and the types of crime they were suspected of. Due to multicollinearity of the macro factors multivariate analyses were not possible. Our results indicate that the decrease in police registered juvenile crime in Amsterdam should be explained by multiple factors. Some of these factors concern policy investments (such as focus on school drop-out and targeted law enforcement), other factors relate to socialdemographic developments which appeared coincidentally.


Dr. André van der Laan
Dr. A.M. van der Laan is senioronderzoeker bij de afdeling Criminaliteit Rechtshandhaving en Sancties (CRS) van het WODC. Zijn onderzoeksinteresse betreft ontwikkelingen in en achtergronden van jeugdcriminaliteit en veelplegers en effecten van justitiële sancties.

Dr. Gijs Weijters
Dr. G.M. Weijters is onderzoeker bij de afdeling Criminaliteit Rechtshandhaving en Sancties (CRS) van het WODC.
Artikel

Jeugddelinquentie in vergelijkend perspectief

Vertellen micro- en macroanalyses hetzelfde verhaal?

Tijdschrift Tijdschrift voor Criminologie, Aflevering 2 2015
Trefwoorden cross-national criminology, juvenile delinquency, theoretical integration, self-report survey, theory-testing
Auteurs Chris Marshall PhD en Prof. Ineke Haen Marshall
SamenvattingAuteursinformatie

    This article presents a micro- and a macro-level analysis of predictors of delinquency in order to contribute to the discussion about the micro-macro problem in criminology. We use Coleman’s boat (1990) to situate our research question. Individual theories dominate the field of delinquency, there are few theories at macro level. Cross-level theoretical integration primarily takes place between individual (micro) and community (meso) levels, and hardly ever on (national) macro level. Our question is to which extent macro-level theory fruitfully may use concepts drawn from micro-level theory. We test a micro and a macro model using indicators from the domains of family, school, friends/peers and economy, using data collected by the Second International Self-Report Study of Delinquency (ISRD2), a cross-national self-report survey of delinquency and victimization among students between 12 and 16 years in 30 countries (n=71.436). Dependent variable at micro level is versatility (last year), at the macro level (national) we use contacts with the police for youths under 18. Results confirm the importance of including macro context (country clusters) in the analysis of individual delinquency. We further conclude that factors related to family and friends correlate at both micro and macro level with measures of delinquency; the role of school and economic factors is less clear-cut. The article concludes with the recommendation to give the micro-macro problem in delinquency theory a more central and explicit position in research programs.


Chris Marshall PhD
C.E. Marshall, PhD is Associate Professor bij de School of Criminology and Criminal Justice van de University of Nebraska-Omaha (VS).

Prof. Ineke Haen Marshall
Prof. I. Haen Marshall is Professor bij de School of Criminology and Criminal Justice en de Department of Sociology & Anthropology van de Northeastern University in Boston (VS).
Artikel

Wederopsluiting na elektronische detentie en reguliere detentie in België

Tijdschrift Tijdschrift voor Criminologie, Aflevering 1 2015
Trefwoorden electronic monitoring, incarceration, propensity score matching, re-imprisonment
Auteurs Prof. mr. dr. Arjan Blokland, Dr. Hilde Wermink, Drs. Luc Robert e.a.
SamenvattingAuteursinformatie

    Electronic monitoring is increasingly used as an alternative to imprisonment. Compared to imprisonment, electronic monitoring presumably is less costly. Furthermore, compared to imprisonment electronic monitoring may have less collateral consequences, as detainees who are electronically monitored are able to keep their job, housing and social networks, which are in turn associated with reduced recidivism. On the other hand electronic monitoring may have less of a deterrent effect than imprisonment, and deviant networks also remain intact, which may increase the likelihood of future crime and with it the likelihood of re-imprisonment. Here we make use of data from the Belgian penitentiary register to compare re-imprisonment of those having served their sentence under electronic monitoring and those regularly imprisoned, and limit our analyses to offenders with a prison sentence between six months and three years. We use propensity score matching to control for pre-existing differences between these groups. Our findings show that detainees are less likely to be re-imprisoned after electronic monitoring than after regular imprisonment.


Prof. mr. dr. Arjan Blokland
Prof. dr. mr. A.A.J. Blokland is senior onderzoeker bij het Nederlands Studiecentrum Criminaliteit en Rechtshandhaving (NSCR) en bijzonder hoogleraar Criminology and Criminal Justice bij het Instituut voor Strafrecht & Criminologie van de Universiteit Leiden.

Dr. Hilde Wermink
Dr. H.T. Wermink is als universitair docent verbonden aan het Instituut voor Strafrecht & Criminologie van de Universiteit Leiden.

Drs. Luc Robert
Drs. L. Robert is onderzoeker aan het Nationaal Instituut voor Criminalistiek en Criminologie (NICC) te Brussel.

Dr. Eric Maes
E. Maes is onderzoeker bij het Nationaal Instituut voor Criminalistiek en Criminologie (NICC) te Brussel.
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